Note: When clicking on a Digital Object Identifier (DOI) number, you will be taken to an external site maintained by the publisher.
Some full text articles may not yet be available without a charge during the embargo (administrative interval).
What is a DOI Number?
Some links on this page may take you to non-federal websites. Their policies may differ from this site.
-
Free, publicly-accessible full text available February 1, 2026
-
The data provided here accompany the publication "Drought Characterization with GPS: Insights into Groundwater and Reservoir Storage in California" [Young et al., (2024)] which is currently under review with Water Resources Research. (as of 28 May 2024)Please refer to the manuscript and its supplemental materials for full details. (A link will be appended following publication)File formatting information is listed below, followed by a sub-section of the text describing the Geodetic Drought Index Calculation. The longitude, latitude, and label for grid points are provided in the file "loading_grid_lon_lat".Time series for each Geodetic Drought Index (GDI) time scale are provided within "GDI_time_series.zip".The included time scales are for 00- (daily), 1-, 3-, 6-, 12- 18- 24-, 36-, and 48-month GDI solutions.Files are formatted following...Title: "grid point label L****"_"time scale"_monthFile Format: ["decimal date" "GDI value"]Gridded, epoch-by-epoch, solutions for each time scale are provided within "GDI_grids.zip".Files are formatted following...Title: GDI_"decimal date"_"time scale"_monthFile Format: ["longitude" "latitude" "GDI value" "grid point label L****"]2.2 GEODETIC DROUGHT INDEX CALCULATION We develop the GDI following Vicente-Serrano et al. (2010) and Tang et al. (2023), such that the GDI mimics the derivation of the SPEI, and utilize the log-logistic distribution (further details below). While we apply hydrologic load estimates derived from GPS displacements as the input for this GDI (Figure 1a-d), we note that alternate geodetic drought indices could be derived using other types of geodetic observations, such as InSAR, gravity, strain, or a combination thereof. Therefore, the GDI is a generalizable drought index framework. A key benefit of the SPEI is that it is a multi-scale index, allowing the identification of droughts which occur across different time scales. For example, flash droughts (Otkin et al., 2018), which may develop over the period of a few weeks, and persistent droughts (>18 months), may not be observed or fully quantified in a uni-scale drought index framework. However, by adopting a multi-scale approach these signals can be better identified (Vicente-Serrano et al., 2010). Similarly, in the case of this GPS-based GDI, hydrologic drought signals are expected to develop at time scales that are both characteristic to the drought, as well as the source of the load variation (i.e., groundwater versus surface water and their respective drainage basin/aquifer characteristics). Thus, to test a range of time scales, the TWS time series are summarized with a retrospective rolling average window of D (daily with no averaging), 1, 3, 6, 12, 18, 24, 36, and 48-months width (where one month equals 30.44 days). From these time-scale averaged time series, representative compilation window load distributions are identified for each epoch. The compilation window distributions include all dates that range ±15 days from the epoch in question per year. This allows a characterization of the estimated loads for each day relative to all past/future loads near that day, in order to bolster the sample size and provide more robust parametric estimates [similar to Ford et al., (2016)]; this is a key difference between our GDI derivation and that presented by Tang et al. (2023). Figure 1d illustrates the representative distribution for 01 December of each year at the grid cell co-located with GPS station P349 for the daily TWS solution. Here all epochs between between 16 November and 16 December of each year (red dots), are compiled to form the distribution presented in Figure 1e. This approach allows inter-annual variability in the phase and amplitude of the signal to be retained (which is largely driven by variation in the hydrologic cycle), while removing the primary annual and semi-annual signals. Solutions converge for compilation windows >±5 days, and show a minor increase in scatter of the GDI time series for windows of ±3-4 days (below which instability becomes more prevalent). To ensure robust characterization of drought characteristics, we opt for an extended ±15-day compilation window. While Tang et al. (2023) found the log-logistic distribution to be unstable and opted for a normal distribution, we find that, by using the extended compiled distribution, the solutions are stable with negligible differences compared to the use of a normal distribution. Thus, to remain aligned with the SPEI solution, we retain the three-parameter log-logistic distribution to characterize the anomalies. Probability weighted moments for the log-logistic distribution are calculated following Singh et al., (1993) and Vicente-Serrano et al., (2010). The individual moments are calculated following Equation 3. These are then used to calculate the L-moments for shape (), scale (), and location () of the three-parameter log-logistic distribution (Equations 4 – 6). The probability density function (PDF) and the cumulative distribution function (CDF) are then calculated following Equations 7 and 8, respectively. The inverse Gaussian function is used to transform the CDF from estimates of the parametric sample quantiles to standard normal index values that represent the magnitude of the standardized anomaly. Here, positive/negative values represent greater/lower than normal hydrologic storage. Thus, an index value of -1 indicates that the estimated load is approximately one standard deviation dryer than the expected average load on that epoch. *Equations can be found in the main text.more » « less
-
Abstract Patterns of energy and available moisture can vary over small (<1 km) distances in mountainous terrain. Information on fuel and soil moisture conditions that resolves this variation could help to inform fire and drought management decisions. Here, we describe the development of TOPOFIRE, a web-based mapping system designed to provide finely resolved information on soil water balance, drought, and wildfire danger information for the contiguous United States. We developed 8-arc-second-resolution (~250 meter) daily historical, near real-time, and 4-day forecast radiation, temperature, humidity, and snow water equivalent data and used these grids to calculate a suite of drought and wildfire danger indices. Large differences in shortwave radiation and surface air temperature with aspect contribute to greater snow accumulation and delays in melt timing on north-facing slopes, delaying fuel conditioning on shaded slopes. These datasets will help advance our understanding of the role of topography in wildland fire spread and ecological effects. Integration with national programs like the Wildland Fire Assessment System, the Wildland Fire Decision Support System, and drought early warning systems could support more proactive management of wildland fires and refine the characterization of drought in mountainous regions of the United States.more » « less
-
Abstract Here we use Richards Equation models of variably saturated soil and bedrock groundwater flow to investigate first‐order patterns of the coupling between soil and bedrock flow systems. We utilize a Monte Carlo sensitivity analysis to identify important hillslope parameters controlling bedrock recharge and then model the transient response of bedrock and soil flow to seasonal precipitation. Our results suggest that hillslopes can be divided into three conceptual zones of groundwater interaction, (a) the zone of lateral unsaturated soil moisture accumulation (upper portion of hillslope), (b) the zone of soil saturation and bedrock recharge (middle of hillslope) and (c) the zone of saturated‐soil lateral flow and bedrock groundwater exfiltration (bottom of hillslope). Zones of groundwater interaction expand upslope during periods of precipitation and drain downslope during dry periods. The amount of water partitioned to the bedrock groundwater system a can be predicted by the ratio of bedrock to soil saturated hydraulic conductivity across a variety of hillslope configurations. Our modelled processes are qualitatively consistent with observations of shallow subsurface saturation and groundwater fluctuation on hillslopes studied in our two experimental watersheds and support a conceptual model of tightly coupled shallow and deep subsurface circulation where groundwater recharge and discharge continuously stores and releases water from longer residence time storage.more » « less
An official website of the United States government
